Monday, August 17, 2015

Retail Sales Perk Up in July

Americans spent more on new cars, clothing and eating out in July, pushing U.S. retail and food services sales up by 0.6% over the month. Additionally, the decline of 0.3% originally posted in June was revised up to a flat reading – an indication that the consumer sector is not as bad off as the initial weak June numbers seemed to suggest. Core retail sales, which strip out autos, gasoline and building supply centers were up by 0.3%. 

Sales were stronger across the board last month. Among the major sectors reporting an increase in sales were motor vehicles (1.4%); furniture and home furnishings (0.8%); home improvement centers (0.7%); health and personal care stores (0.3%); gasoline stations (0.4%); and apparel retailers (0.4%). U.S. consumers also spent more on sporting goods, books, music and their hobbies (0.9%), they ate out more (0.7%) and spent more on online shopping (1.5%), thanks in no small part to Amazon’s “Prime Day” on July 15.

The only two sectors posting a decline in sales were the long struggling electronic and appliance stores (-1.2%) and general merchandize stores (-0.5%). Sales at food and beverage stores were unchanged over the month.

On a year-over-year basis, total retail sales in July were up by 2.4%, which is still below the average growth rate of 3.0% over the last 12 months. Most major sectors are reporting year-over-year gains with the exception of electronics and appliance stores (-2.5%), department stores (-2.7%) and gasoline stations (-15.2%), primarily because of declining prices (retail sales are not adjusted for prices changes). The biggest winners over the year have been restaurants and bars (9.0%), motor vehicles (6.9%) and the catch-all category sporting goods, hobby, book and music stores (6.4%).



This was a good report and should partially help ease concerns over the health of U.S. consumers and their willingness to spend. Americans remain cautious in their spending habits and since the end of the recession, an uptick in spending is usually accompanied by a decline in the saving rate. If recent gains in labor market continue, and if stronger wages are realized, it will help support consumer demand and retail spending through the end of this year. 


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